Misoverestimated?

and what about the Bradley Effect?

Newly crowned Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama‘s lead over Republican John McCain in California has narrowed somewhat over the past month, a new poll conducted by the Public Policy Institute of California shows. ...[from] 50 percent to 35 percent [to] 48 percent to 39 percent…

That ain’t even a dead cat bounce.

Barack Obama heads into his convention with a lead of no more than one to three points in most polls (a statistical dead heat) and at least one suggests he is now the underdog.
A Zogby poll on 20 August put Barack Obama five points behind his Republican rival, reversing the seven-point lead the pollster had given him the month before.

The Gallup Daily Tracking Poll on Thursday showed the Democratic presidential nominee up 6 points over rival John McCain, 48 to 42 percent, with a 2-point margin of error.

All that work all that hype, all that drama for a lousy 6 points?!? +/- 2???!?

image

Is this meaningful?  Are polls useful indicators?  Are people so sick of ‘em they’re foxing the pollsters?

Moonbatologist Claire
08/28 at 04:14 PM •
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Melissa In Texas said:

Steppy, it is only going to get better.
Have you tried to Orville Redenbacher’s lime and salt popcorn?
It’s pretty good.

in 'ToDaZeD Raaaaacist'.
~~~~~
Melissa In Texas said:

FORGER, it’ll be a cold day in hell before someone says something like that to my face without a strong rebuttal!
BTW, I’m liking the clue by four!

in 'V I Day'.
~~~~~
Melissa In Texas said:

That made me laugh

in 'sign o the times'.
~~~~~
Hog Whitman said:

Harry S Truman was a haberdasher.

P.S. What’s wrong with the above sentence? Tell me. I dare you.

in 'duck'.
~~~~~
Hog Whitman said:

I heard there was only a very small handfull of people who jumped from windows back then, and only one who did it on the actual Wall Street.

Of course, this isn’t counting all the people who made a big splash on Broadway during that same period.

Which reminds me of a song…

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ijhpDBgIPLg

in 'sign o the times'.
~~~~~
rickn8or said:

Been more than once I’ve made a sign like that…

in 'sign o the times'.
~~~~~
Melissa In Texas said:

It was really funny Merovign. My assistant has never handled a gun. I grew up with revolvers, so I am working on getting a feel for my pistol.

The mailman had literally just delivered my package with the mags and new grips. I had just opened the box checking out the grips when the contractor came in with the box. He told me, I have something for you. My comment was… Does it shoot? He cracked up. As a matter of fact…

He and his wife are avid CCW folks. They are doing everything they can to encourage me.

DammitWoman, yes, we get the best of both worlds!
We can fondle the hardware and play with cuuute shoooz! BTW they pink over the knee boots came in, but the red ones haven’t yet ;)
When I went to Academy to pick up my rounds for the range, I was in my office clothes, high heels, skirt and jacket. The guy behind the counter asked if I was waiting for someone.
No, honey, just here for more rounds.
The look on his face!

in 'got NAD?'.
~~~~~
rickn8or said:

From now on, all Space Scuttle pre-flights will include a briefing by a Maintenance Master Chief on the importance of Positive Tool Control.

One briefing/astronaut should be sufficient… for a lifetime.

Master Chiefs is eloquent.

in 'stuff that's really hard to... uhm, I mean... easy to do'.
~~~~~
iDaemon said:

I discovered this site from poll results-- Rodger’s, too.

So I went and voted early and often. I cast a few for mine, too, even though mine’s just embryonic. It won’t really get going until racing season starts up again.

in 'tonight's audience participation'.
~~~~~
Merovign said:

Reminds me I need to get the latest SN, thanks, mech.

I only got 100rds 10mm auto and 100rds .45ACP, and a few reels of 12 gauge…

(reels? Yeah, I keep ‘em in 25-rd sling/belts… ‘cause they’re cool)

I have a couple more guns and a crapload of ammo to get before the end of the year, but I’m moving so I’m waiting until I know what the total will be.

Shockingly, I don’t even own a .22… I’m looking at a S&W;or Browning pistol and I haven’t picked a .22 rifle yet.

And Melissa, I LURV when some “innocent” gets interrupted by an ammo deal. The look on their faces is precious. :)

in 'got NAD?'.
~~~~~
Merovign said:

Remember when everyone said the Muslims would never make the “apostate” claim against Obama?

Good days, good days…

in 'ToDaZeD Raaaaacist'.
~~~~~
Merovign said:

More like Vague magazine.

in 'Wanda Woman!'.
~~~~~
Merovign said:

Oh, come on, the IAEA couldn’t find a hat in a haberdashery.

in 'duck'.
~~~~~
Merovign said:

It’s not nice to make fun of him just because he has an extra chromosome or two.

in 'man alive'.
~~~~~
Merovign said:

Ack.

in 'todazed show and tell'.
~~~~~
Spin said:

Happy Birthday to a classy lady.

in 'spankings! Oh, yea!!!!!!!!'.
~~~~~
Merovign said:

Maybe leaving California’s not such a bad idea after all.

Too bad my current option is Washington.

Oy Vey.

in '...constitutional change?'.
~~~~~
iDaemon said:

“When black Friday comes, I’ll stand down by the door,
And catch the gray men when they dive from the fourteenth floor...”

-- Steely Dan

in 'sign o the times'.
~~~~~
Melissa In Texas said:

hahahahahahaaaaa!
Alan, spoken like a married man!
BTW, their time’s a charm comment was directed at AO ;)
I cannot imagine anyone wanting to take out our ET.

in 'stuff that's really hard to... uhm, I mean... easy to do'.
~~~~~
forest hunter said:

Alan your avatar sure fits that last comment....HAAAAAA!

in 'stuff that's really hard to... uhm, I mean... easy to do'.
~~~~~



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